Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.011826 0.014379 0.017590 0.022019 0.028131 0.036527 0.049432
2025-02-16 0.008678 0.011511 0.015563 0.022092 0.033043 0.052252 0.093242
2025-02-23 0.007032 0.009839 0.014192 0.021987 0.037080 0.069433 0.164169
2025-03-02 0.005822 0.008434 0.012711 0.020952 0.038701 0.083454 0.260014
2025-03-09 0.005050 0.007529 0.011778 0.020505 0.041221 0.102553 0.444203
2025-03-16 0.004580 0.007021 0.011394 0.020972 0.046180 0.135939 0.948094
2025-03-23 0.004161 0.006521 0.010904 0.021035 0.050209 0.174062 2.213133
2025-03-30 0.003723 0.005919 0.010098 0.020116 0.050854 0.199994 4.685459
2025-04-06 0.003399 0.005483 0.009544 0.019648 0.052789 0.239663 14.939633
2025-04-13 0.003208 0.005269 0.009407 0.020205 0.058904 0.330318 468.942138
2025-04-20 0.003110 0.005216 0.009600 0.021727 0.070439 0.540323 NaN
2025-04-27 0.002981 0.005086 0.009596 0.022699 0.080898 0.859867 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002768 0.004787 0.009219 0.022625 0.087608 1.300003 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002586 0.004535 0.008920 0.022758 0.096585 2.223411 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002416 0.004287 0.008583 0.022652 0.104487 3.923850 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002224 0.003971 0.008027 0.021575 0.104260 5.424397 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002080 0.003745 0.007665 0.021109 0.108753 9.672392 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001989 0.003624 0.007557 0.021596 0.123100 36.179586 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001891 0.003478 0.007360 0.021661 0.134379 233.430503 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001768 0.003264 0.006949 0.020705 0.133189 951.337706 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001672 0.003103 0.006665 0.020218 0.137307 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001617 0.003032 0.006623 0.020797 0.157482 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001593 0.003031 0.006778 0.022381 0.200646 NaN NaN